An Early Election Prediction -- and It Ain't What You Think

I may say this louder and stronger in a few weeks — waiting to see what happens post-Labor Day. But for now …

Yarmuth wins. Conway wins. Fischer wins.

Marty Meyer wins.

Dems keep US House and Senate.

Why do I think this? Why do I see these victories for Dems in this horrible atmosphere?

Three reasons:

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The Barbecue Principle

Last night John Yarmuth, our excellent Dem rep from KY-03, spoke to the Metro Democratic Club. In answer to a question about the Bush tax cuts, and progressive taxes in general, he shared the Barbecue Principle. It's a wonderful story, an excellent sound bite, and really captures the concept in a nutshell. Make the jump to learn what it is.

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Protecting Us from Hugo Chavez, Saudi Arabia, and Goldman Sachs

And Exxon Mobil,

and China State Construction Company,

and Bank of America, and ...

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WHO is doing this protecting, and HOW are they doing it?

Make the jump.

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Yarmuth and FISA -- Any Explanation?

Can someone explain something to me? Can someone explain to me why John Yarmuth, the congressman I am usually so completely proud of, the one congressman who almost always seems to "get it" when it comes to standing up for the right -- can someone explain to me why he voted FOR granting immunity to the telecom industry for their warrantless wiretapping?

And, can someone also explain to me why he voted FOR the rest of this misbegotten bill? Especially when the majority of Democrats voted AGAINST it?

First vote of his that I just don't understand. Anyone out there with an explanation?

John Yarmuth Hits Race Head On

Last Friday night I attended the Jefferson-Jackson Dinner. This dinner happens the night before the state Democratic convention, and usually consists of your standard political speeches: lots of jokes about Republicans, lots of calls for hard work and unity, and lots of cheerleading. The usual rubber-chicken fare. This time, though, Congressman John Yarmuth -- former independent newspaper publisher and long-time editorial writer not afraid to speak his mind -- decided to skip the empty calories of political rhetoric and lay out a banquet course rarely seen in such settings: a speech on Democrats and race, served with passion and purpose. When he started, you could feel the tension build. You could almost hear the 1,000-plus attendees thinking, "This wasn't on the menu." And then, "... oh my, he's really going to talk about it." John Yarmuth called out the elephant in the room, and it wasn't the Republicans. Ignoring the silence one could cut with a knife, he kept going. You keep going over the fold, and I'll share how it turned out.

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